Former
Bank of Israel governor Stanley Fischer, a dual U.S.-Israeli citizen,
has reportedly been asked by the White House to become deputy head of
the Federal Reserve Bank when Janet Yellen takes over as chief.
Reuters and Israel Hayom Staff
Former Bank of Israel
Governor Stanley Fischer
|
Photo credit: Reuters |
Stanley Fischer, who led the Bank of Israel
for eight years until he stepped down in June, has been asked to become
the Federal Reserve Bank's next deputy head once the current vice
chairwoman, Janet Yellen, takes over as chief of the U.S. central bank, a
source familiar with the issue said on Wednesday.
Fischer, 70, is widely respected as one of the
world's top monetary economists. He is seen as a pragmatic policymaker
and has praised the Fed's extraordinary steps to boost the U.S. economy.
He once taught current Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and European Central
Bank President Mario Draghi at the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology.
Yellen is expected to win approval from the
U.S. Senate next week to take the reins from Bernanke, whose term ends
in January. Fischer, who was born in Zambia and has dual Israeli and
U.S. citizenship, would also need Senate approval if he accepts the
White House's offer.
"He has been offered the job," said the source, who declined to be named.
The White House declined to comment. A Fed spokeswoman said the White House was responsible for nominations.
Fischer, who could not immediately be reached,
has held top-level posts at the World Bank and the International
Monetary Fund, and is credited with guiding Israel through the global
economic crisis with minimal damage. For the Fed, he would bring the
fresh perspective of an outsider, especially on communications, yet
offer some continuity too.
He is "difficult to characterize with a term
as obtuse as 'hawk' or 'dove' because he takes a balanced, academic
approach to various topics of debate," said Thomas Simons, an economist
at brokerage firm Jefferies.
"However, given that he played an instrumental
role in helping Ben Bernanke form his views on monetary economics, his
presence at the Fed would represent some consistency in this time of
transition."
Fischer would arrive as the U.S. central bank
starts to navigate a return to normalcy after taking dramatic and
unprecedented steps to emerge from the Great Recession of 2007-2009.
The Fed is now wrestling with the decision of
when to scale back its huge bond-buying program that sought to drive
down long-term borrowing costs and swelled its balance sheet to some $4
trillion. It buys $85 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds in
its current, third round of "quantitative easing," or QE3.
At an IMF economic forum on Nov. 8, held in
Fischer's honor, he suggested that he believed in the effectiveness of
the Fed's unconventional policies.
"It's very hard to reach the conclusion that
the unorthodox measures are ineffective," Fischer, who was seated next
to Bernanke on a panel, said of the bond buying. "They appear to be
effective and they essentially do that by working off either the
provision of liquidity in markets where liquidity has effectively dried
up, or by changing interest rates other than the central bank interest
rate."
As the Fed's vice chairman, Fischer would have
a strong hand in shaping policy. Yellen, who has held the post since
2010, was a driving force behind the Fed's adoption last year of an
inflation target, an important policy milestone for the bank.
One possible source of tension may be how to
telegraph the Fed's policy intentions. While Yellen and Bernanke have
tied a rate rise to future levels of unemployment and inflation, Fischer
has publicly warned about central banks giving so-called forward
guidance that is too precise.
"He's going to think outside of the box, he's
going to push the Fed a little bit, and that's not a bad thing," said
Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial in Chicago. She said
Fischer "is very cognizant of what you can and can't communicate, and
I'm not sure the Fed is always so sensitive about that."
Bloomberg News and Israel's Channel 2 earlier reported Fischer as the front runner for Fed vice chairman.
If he takes the job, it would be the second
time this year a major central bank makes a high-profile hire from
abroad. The Bank of Canada's chief Mark Carney earlier this year became
the first foreigner to lead the Bank of England.
The Fed's seven-member board is currently
depleted and risks thinning out further. Elizabeth Duke stepped down in
August, Sarah Raskin is set to leave for a job at the U.S. Treasury, and
Bernanke is expected to depart when his term as head expires Jan. 31.
With Yellen set to become the first woman to
take the helm, some economists and investors had speculated that Jeremy
Stein, a well-respected Fed governor and former Harvard professor, would
be tapped to replace her. Some observers expect that he too could leave
and return to Harvard if Fischer steps in.
Next week, the Fed holds a highly anticipated
policy meeting at which officials could announce the beginning of the
end of QE3, given the improvement in the U.S. labor market. It will be
Bernanke's second-last meeting as chairman.
Fischer "is a very qualified and very solid
vice chair candidate, and I don't see on what grounds his nomination
would fail," said Roberto Perli, a partner at economic research firm
Cornerstone Macro and a former senior Fed official.
"He seems to complement and balance Yellen
pretty well ... and he is probably more sensitive than Yellen to
financial stability issues, and that is a good thing."
Fischer, a naturalized American citizen, quit
his job as head of Israel's central bank on June 30, three years into
his second five-year term.
Asked about his next job at a conference in
Tel Aviv on Monday, he said: "The advice I received was not to accept a
position until I had waited at least six months, which is in three
weeks, so it seems that I am nearing a decision."
Once chief economist at the World Bank and
then first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund
from 1994 to 2001, Fischer was a key figure in the IMF's Mexican bailout
after the peso crashed in the mid-1990s, and was the fund's main
firefighter as it sought to douse the flames of the Asian financial
crisis.
At the time, he negotiated repeatedly with
troubled countries, jetting from one to the next as a financial storm
swept through the world's emerging markets. Robert Rubin, the
influential former U.S. Treasury secretary, once described Fischer as
the "unsung hero" of the crisis.
During his tenure in Israel, the country's
economy performed better than most. Despite a focus on fighting
inflation, Fischer slashed rates and went against his own policy of
staying out of financial markets by buying up tens of billions of
dollars to weaken the shekel and help prop up local exporters.
While he began cutting rates in 2008 before
other major central banks in a bid to head off the worst of the
recession, he also was among the first to raise them, a year later.
He "was very proactive with a dovish bias when
necessary," said Benoit Anne, head of emerging-market strategy at
Societe Generale.
"Fischer will bring a valuable awareness of
the impact of Fed policies on the outside word, including emerging
markets. The process of Fed policy exit may be better managed from a
collateral damage perspective."
Fischer was a vice chairman of Citigroup prior
to joining the Bank of Israel. He had sought the top job at the IMF in
2011 but was disqualified due to his age.
If Fischer is nominated and approved by the
U.S. Senate in time to take the reins from Yellen, it would be the first
time in Fed history that the two top posts at the central bank are
filled at the same time.
The closest to that the Fed has ever come was
in 1979, when Paul Volcker took over as Fed chairman less than two weeks
after Vice Chairman Frederick H. Schultz started his job.
What more evidence do Americans need to see that the world's richest ethnic minority group and their religious state being established by American taxpayer monies owns and controls America's government than to see ONLY Jews put into America's top financial institutions and offices. It's sickening to see this religious prejudice in our highest office. It is sick to see the 5th Columnist work being done openly in America's highest governmental offices. What happened to Separation of Church and State when it comes to America establishing the religious state of Israel?
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